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What is the Y-axis scale? I thought it was percent of cases, but tuberculosis exceeds 100; so it must be something else.

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I thought I mentioned it. Deaths per 100,000.

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Don't see it. I would have supposed that typhoid would be more than .03% (30/100,000). Not that it matters for your exercise. I was just curious because my grandfather had typhoid in the late 1870's and almost died. The family lore was that they turned him in a sheet.

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I edited the post! I had included it and somehow in my initial quick and dirty post it was deleted.

TB was, and still is, the big killer.

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See the extracts below. The 100,000 must be the population, not the cases.

"The death rate from typhoid fever in this country during the census year 1890, was 46.27 per 100,000 persons, but as this is recognized as under-stating the facts from the necessarily imperfect character of the returns, a better idea of the prevalence of this fever may be obtained from the death rate, 53.25 of certain urban populations in which the records were considered to be accurate. The death rate from typhoid fever in England was in that year only 17.9 per 100,000, and that this was not an exceptional year is shown by the last published report of the Registrar-General, which shows only 17.5. Moreover in every 100,000 of our population we recorded about 20 deaths from malarial fevers, a considerable proportion of which was certainly due to the infection of typhoid fever, while the English have no analogous additions to their recorded typhoid rate. "

CDC: "Without therapy, the illness can last for 3 to 4 weeks and death rates range between 12% and 30%. Relapse occurs in up to 10% of untreated patients approximately 1 to 3 weeks after recovering from the initial illness and is often milder than the initial illness."

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yes of course! It's the population.

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And it's the population that is relevant to your exercise, because what was promised was that herd immunity would follow from mass vaccination. And it didn't.

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I mean, determining cases back then would have been pretty difficult.

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